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How it works

From the model to your inbox.Every day.

Picks before first pitch, lineup-update emails the moment a player is scratched, and a results email the next morning. Here's the loop - and exactly what arrives in your inbox.

1

Model generates the day's picks

Our Statcast-trained model scores every batter on the slate and surfaces the ones with the widest edge over the book's implied HR probability.

2

Picks email sent before first pitch

Every subscriber gets the picks email - batter, matchup, model probability, edge, best book, and the price to beat.

3

Lineup change? Replacement pick.

If a player gets scratched from the lineup, a follow-up email arrives with a replacement pick before the game starts.

4

You place the bets

Take the picks to your sportsbook of choice. 1u per pick keeps things simple - and matches how we report results.

5

Watch baseball

Sit back. Bets are placed before first pitch on most slates. The model already did the work.

6

Results email next morning

A clean recap of every pick, settled with units. The public dashboard updates too, so the season totals stay honest.

Step 2

The picks email.

Lands in your inbox before first pitch. Every batter, matchup, model probability, edge, best book, and the price to beat. No spreadsheets, no apps.

Inbox · Dinger Derby Picks - May 12, 2026
Dinger Derby Picks - May 12, 2026
8:14 AM
DDDinger Derby <picks@dingerderby.io>
Dinger Derby

Daily Picks

May 12, 2026

Hi, here are your picks for today:

PRO PACKAGE
6 straights + 1 parlay  •  7u risk
Coby Mayo
vs Will Warren
NYY @ BAL  •  6:35 PM ET
Prob 32.8%  •  Edge 20.8%
fanduel
+730
Jake Burger
vs Zac Gallen
AZ @ TEX  •  8:05 PM ET
Prob 26.4%  •  Edge 11.8%
draftkings
+588
Joc Pederson
vs Zac Gallen
AZ @ TEX  •  8:05 PM ET
Prob 25.4%  •  Edge 9.8%
fanduel
+540
Mike Yastrzemski
vs Colin Rea
CHC @ ATL  •  7:15 PM ET
Prob 18.7%  •  Edge 7.9%
fanduel
+820
Ezequiel Duran
vs Zac Gallen
AZ @ TEX  •  8:05 PM ET
Prob 16.5%  •  Edge 7.1%
draftkings
+960
Harrison Bader
vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
SF @ LAD  •  10:10 PM ET
Prob 16.0%  •  Edge 6.9%
draftkings
+1000
Parlay (1u)
Coby Mayo · NYY @ BAL
Mike Yastrzemski · CHC @ ATL
fanduel
+7536
6u
Straight Wager
+46.4u
Max Payout
1u
Parlay Wager
+75.4u
Max Payout

Let's hit some dingers! ⚾

What is a unit?

A unit (u) is a fixed wager amount you choose and stick with on every bet. For example, $5, $10, or $25. We recommend choosing a unit size you're comfortable with and wagering 1u on each pick, every time. Consistency is key.

Dinger Derby  •  Home Run Predictions

Picks are for entertainment purposes. Please bet responsibly.

Step 3

The lineup-update email.

Baseball lineups can shift right up to first pitch. If one of your picks is scratched, you get a follow-up email with a replacement so you're never stuck holding a dead bet.

Inbox · Dinger Derby - Lineup Update
Dinger Derby - Lineup Update
3:42 PM
DDDinger Derby <updates@dingerderby.io>
Dinger Derby

⚠️ Lineup Update

May 12, 2026

Hi, one of your ROOKIE PACKAGE picks needs a lineup adjustment:

SCRATCHED
Willi Castro
vs Mitch Keller  •  COL @ PIT
Package: ROOKIE PACKAGE  •  +1000
Reason: Not in lineup
REPLACEMENT
Ezequiel Tovar
vs Mitch Keller  •  COL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
draftkings+930
Prob 15.0%  •  Edge 5.3%
Parlay note: Willi Castro appears in 32 parlays. If already placed, contact your book - they may void the leg and pay on the remaining player, or void the full parlay.

Dinger Derby  •  Lineup Update  •  May 12, 2026

Picks are for entertainment purposes. Please bet responsibly.

Step 6

The next-morning recap.

Every pick gets a clean settlement. The recap email lands the day after the slate - so you always know exactly how the model did.

Inbox · Dinger Derby Results - May 12, 2026
Dinger Derby Results - May 12, 2026
8:02 AM
DDDinger Derby <results@dingerderby.io>
Dinger Derby

Daily Results

May 12, 2026

Hi, here's how your picks settled:

PRO PACKAGE
4W - 2L  •  +31.2u
Joc Pederson
+540 → +5.4u
Mike Yastrzemski
+820 → +8.2u
Ezequiel Duran
+960 → +9.6u
Harrison Bader
+1000 → +10.0u
Coby Mayo
Jake Burger
PARLAY
Coby Mayo +730 × Mike Yastrzemski +820
-1.0u
4W - 2L
Straights
-1.0u
Parlays
+30.2u
Day Total

Dinger Derby  •  Daily Results  •  May 12, 2026

Picks are for entertainment purposes. Please bet responsibly.

Ready

Every signal we send.Zero guesswork.

Pick a package and tomorrow's picks will be in your inbox before first pitch.